US media revealed the probability of the 2026 draft: the Thunder are expected to receive two lottery picks at the same time
6686 Sports News on November 12 The American media Tankathon updated the probability of the 2026 draft lottery today based on the current record of each team in the league. Since the Wizards, Pacers, and Nets all have a record of 1 win and 10 losses, the probability of getting the No. 1 pick is 14%, and the probability of getting the top four picks is 52.1%.
It is worth mentioning that in this list, the Thunder, currently ranked first in the league, actually holds two lottery picks, the 6th and 10th picks, and these two first-round picks were obtained through transactions a few years ago.
The Clippers' first-round pick came from George's trade in 2019. At that time, the Clippers sent their first-round picks in 2022, 2024 and 2026, and they were all unmaintained first-round picks. According to the Clippers' current record, their probability of winning the No. 1 pick is 9%.
The Jazz's first-round pick came from the Favors trade in 2021. At that time, in order to clear salary space, the Jazz traded Favos and a future first-round pick to the Thunder. This first-round pick had triggered maintenance clauses for two consecutive years and was postponed to the top 8 picks next year. Currently, according to the Jazz's record, they will draw the No. 10 pick, so this first-round pick will be sent to the Thunder.
